If you remember 2024, the polls were way off, and speculation is that the people polled didn’t want to say they were voting for Trump, but they did. Trump won overwhelmingly in multiple states, turning the polls upside down.
This time seems to be a bit different becasue the young Democrats supporting socialism are energetic and want the world to know. Both of the polls referenced in this article were way off, not a point or two but in the double digits.
Polls going forward may have the same bias, so we need to be aware of it and check the details of polls, like who was sampled and the standard error, not to get too technical. Polls can be weaponized just like anything else. For instance, one tactic is to promote overwhelming support for one side in order to get the opposite side to sit out, thinking there is no use in voting. It happens. The funny thing is that, depending on how the political party handles the messaging, the same situation could be used to bring out the vote. The game of politics is deceitful and dirty, unfortunately. All IMO.
https://www.westernjournal.com/pollsters-get-michigan-wisconsin-primaries-wrong/
“Polling for races in Michigan and Wisconsin did not accurately reflect the actual election results due to open primaries and the willingness from the further-left candidates’ bases to be surveyed, pollsters said.
Surveys indicated that Democratic Michigan Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Democratic Wisconsin gubernatorial candidate Francesca Hong held double digit leads ahead of their primaries, although El-Sayed narrowly won his race and Hong lost. Pollsters stated it was difficult to properly conduct surveys in these states because of their open primaries, while supporters of further-left candidates are more enthusiastic and willing to participate in polls.
An Emerson College Polling/WLNS/WOODTV survey, a Mitchell Research & Communications poll and other polls indicated El-Sayed led Democratic Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens by over 20 points. El-Sayed only beat Stevens by one point, 48.5% to 47.5%.
In open primary elections, it is difficult to determine likely Democratic voters since Republicans and independents can vote in Democratic primaries. Eli McKown-Dawson, a senior elections analyst at Silver Bulletin, told the Daily Caller News Foundation it was difficult to poll in Michigan and Wisconsin because they hold open primaries, meaning voters do not register with a political party.”